← All Conflicts
SAF vs RSF
Sudanese Armed Forces vs Rapid Support Forces
SAF RSF
low Risk
Analysis: 2026-04-07T20:08:31.760486+00:00
Sources: 6 active pipelines
OSINT Signals: 4
Region: Africa
Key Highlights ? Executive summary split into key findings. Red = critical threats, orange = escalation signals, blue = strategic context, purple = broader patterns.
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Analysis of Sudan Civil War based on data from 5 collection sources.
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News coverage: 8 articles collected from GDELT, RSS feeds, and NewsAPI.
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NASA FIRMS detected 2056 thermal hotspots, 7 near key strategic locations.
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OSINT: 9 GDELT GKG records, 0 military movement events.
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Top conflict themes: TAX_TERROR_GROUP, TAX_TERROR_GROUP_HEZBOLLAH, TAX_TERROR_GROUP_KATAIB_HEZBOLLAH, ARREST, RELEASE_HOSTAGE.
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Maritime intelligence: 15 events — 0 naval/military, 0 shipping disruptions, 0 chokepoint events.
2
News Events
0
Aircraft Tracked
2056
Thermal Hotspots
4
OSINT Signals
14
Maritime Events
0
Military Movements
Geospatial Overview ?Interactive map with all geo-tagged events. Click markers for details. Toggle NASA satellite layer via layer control (top-right).
Key Location
Military / Thermal
Cargo
Surveillance / OSINT
News
Maritime
Mil. Movement
Predictions ?AI-generated predictions based on weighted multi-source analysis. Physical data contributes 55%, news 20%, maritime 15%, historical 10%.
Increased operational activity at strategic sites in Africa
85%
24-48 hours strike Confidence: medium-high
NASA FIRMS 7 hotspots near key locations out of 2056 total
Thermal anomalies near strategic sites suggest heightened military or industrial activity.
Maritime & Shipping Intelligence ?Conflict-related maritime events from GDELT, maritime RSS, and NewsAPI. Covers naval deployments, blockades, port disruptions, and chokepoint activity.
0
Naval / Military
0
Disruptions
0
Chokepoint
0
Port Activity
Maritime event 190: vs IGOWSTNAT (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407
Maritime event 190: vs IGOWSTNAT (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407
Maritime event 190: CMR vs UKR (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407
Maritime event 173: CVL vs IGOWSTNAT (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407
Maritime event 173: CVL vs IGOWSTNAT (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407
Maritime event 190: IGOWSTNAT vs (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407
Maritime event 190: IGOWSTNAT vs (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407
Maritime event 173: NGA vs JUD (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407
Maritime event 173: SPY vs EDU (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407
Maritime event 173: SPY vs NGA (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407
Maritime event 173: SPY vs NGA (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407
Maritime event 190: UKR vs CMR (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407
Maritime event 190: UKR vs CMR (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407
Maritime event 190: USA vs BUS (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407
Military Movements & Force Posture ?GDELT CAMEO codes 150-203: military deployments, blockades, airstrikes, occupations, and force usage events.
No military movement events detected.
Flight Intelligence ?OpenSky ADS-B data. Core region + surrounding airspace scanned in sub-regions.
Limited ADS-B coverage. OpenSky returned 0 aircraft. This region has limited ground receivers. Military aircraft often disable transponders.
CallsignCountryAlt (m)SpeedFlags
No anomalies detected
Aircraft by Origin Country
Thermal Hotspots Near Key Locations ?NASA FIRMS detections within ~15km of strategic sites.
LocationBrightnessFRPConfidenceTime
Khartoum331.375.56n2026-04-06 1043
Khartoum346.634.82n2026-04-06 1043
El Fasher341.952.17l2026-04-07 1206
El Fasher345.725.32l2026-04-07 1206
El Fasher353.75.32n2026-04-07 1206
El Fasher347.394.19n2026-04-07 1206
El Fasher353.514.19n2026-04-07 1206
OSINT Conflict Themes
Event Timeline ?Chronological event feed. Blue=news, orange=flight, red=satellite, purple=OSINT, cyan=maritime, yellow=military.
The brilliant students the UK doesn’t want - podcast
Wed, 01 Apr 2026 02:00:34 GMT · RSS: Africa | The Guardian · Source
Churches and politicians in South Sudan call for 'lasting peace' in Easter messages
Mon, 06 Apr 2026 16:06:09 GMT · RSS: BBC News · Source
Maritime event 190: vs IGOWSTNAT (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 190: vs IGOWSTNAT (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 190: CMR vs UKR (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 173: CVL vs IGOWSTNAT (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 173: CVL vs IGOWSTNAT (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 190: IGOWSTNAT vs (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 190: IGOWSTNAT vs (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 173: NGA vs JUD (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 173: SPY vs EDU (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 173: SPY vs NGA (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 173: SPY vs NGA (Goldstein: -5.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 190: UKR vs CMR (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 190: UKR vs CMR (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Maritime event 190: USA vs BUS (Goldstein: -10.0)
20260407 · Maritime · Source
Hotspot near El Fasher
2026-04-07 1206 · VIIRS S-NPP
Hotspot near El Fasher
2026-04-07 1206 · VIIRS S-NPP
Hotspot near El Fasher
2026-04-07 1206 · VIIRS S-NPP
Hotspot near El Fasher
2026-04-07 1206 · VIIRS S-NPP
Hotspot near El Fasher
2026-04-07 1206 · VIIRS S-NPP
Hotspot near Khartoum
2026-04-06 1043 · VIIRS S-NPP
Hotspot near Khartoum
2026-04-06 1043 · VIIRS S-NPP
Data Source Quality ?Green = collected, yellow = stale/partial, red = failed/empty.
News (GDELT + RSS + NewsAPI)
2 articles
Flight Radar (OpenSky)
0 aircraft, 0 anomalous
Satellite (NASA FIRMS)
2056 hotspots
OSINT + Military (GDELT)
4 records, 0 military
Maritime (GDELT + RSS + NewsAPI)
14 events
Raw Analysis Data (JSON)
{
  "subject": "sudan",
  "analysis_date": "2026-04-07T20:08:31.760486+00:00",
  "summary": "Analysis of Sudan Civil War based on data from 5 collection sources. Current risk assessment: LOW.\n\nNews coverage: 8 articles collected from GDELT, RSS feeds, and NewsAPI.\n\nNASA FIRMS detected 2056 thermal hotspots, 7 near key strategic locations.\n\nOSINT: 9 GDELT GKG records, 0 military movement events. Average media tone: -1.69. Top conflict themes: TAX_TERROR_GROUP, TAX_TERROR_GROUP_HEZBOLLAH, TAX_TERROR_GROUP_KATAIB_HEZBOLLAH, ARREST, RELEASE_HOSTAGE.\n\nMaritime intelligence: 15 events \u2014 0 naval/military, 0 shipping disruptions, 0 chokepoint events.",
  "risk_level": "low",
  "predictions": [
    {
      "event": "Increased operational activity at strategic sites in Africa",
      "likelihood": 85,
      "timeframe": "24-48 hours",
      "type": "strike",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "source": "NASA FIRMS",
          "detail": "7 hotspots near key locations out of 2056 total",
          "weight": 0.35
        }
      ],
      "confidence": "medium-high",
      "reasoning": "Thermal anomalies near strategic sites suggest heightened military or industrial activity."
    }
  ],
  "data_quality": {
    "news_freshness_hours": 2,
    "flight_coverage": "poor",
    "satellite_coverage": "good",
    "maritime_coverage": "partial",
    "military_movement_events": 0,
    "osint_events_count": 9
  },
  "analysis_mode": "rule_based",
  "risk_score": 14.2
}